Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. As an added bonus, the Swede played his college golf an hour west in Stillwater for Oklahoma State University, so he should be more than comfortable in this region of the country. Pictured: Max Homa. He has made the cut in each of his eight tournaments since then, culminating in last week's T5 finish, which was his best career PGA TOUR . Southern Hills itself has changed plenty, with a renovation undertaken in that time. 1 Scottie Scheffler. Below are the odds for the top golfers in this year's PGA Championship. The combination of course familiarity and recent play would make Scott a potent threat if his putter gets extra hot this week. PGA Championship dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at Southern HIlls Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM. With that said, however, his great form and how hes succeeding leads me to believe he can be a factor this week. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Speaking of good ball-strikers and sketchy putters: Keegan Bradley! Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Lee went on to record multiple top-five place finishes on The DP World Tour last year. We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? Sign up for an account to take action today.) Crazy talent. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +2,000. Part III of @GOLF_com's golf gambling series! So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Now lets dig into some longshots.. In his 10 starts since the Ryder Cup, Cantlay has a win and six top-10s. . Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. The Horse 5. Keegan Bradley at +10,000 and Cameron Tringale at +25,000. No promotions available. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). Hes finished T23 or better in each of his last four starts, including Top 5 finishes at the Zurich Classic (the team event) and the RBC Heritage. We also have a variable of wind and a possibility of a tee time advantage. Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). Hes healthy: Toward the end of last year, Champ suffered a left wrist injury, and the effects may have crept into his swing. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. If youve come to this page before, youll know that one of the items I like to check before making a major championship bet is seeing where the public money is going. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports. But the truth of the matter is that favorites dont always win golf tournaments. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022! 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. Particularly when it comes to a major championship, the favorites to win always get the biggest look. There is a narrative brewing that around the green play will be important this week. He also has two Tour victories (Puerto Rico Open & Mayakoba Classic) on paspalum. A T-3 at the Farmers, leading the Wells Fargo after 36 holes, and two solid opening rounds last week before a Saturday 73 plummeted him down the leaderboard. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. He won last years Scottish Open, beating the likes of Justin Thomas and John Rahm. In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. This one feels too easy. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Two of those were playoff losses to guys who arent exactly slouches (Spieth and Scheffler). So, good putters should fare well on this course. With Jon Rahm, the world No. Maybe. Tommy Fleetwood plays from the 13th tee during the first round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans golf tournament. He's also coming into this event off of a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson, so you know he's in great form. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. The same can be said of a couple of players further down the board in Matt Fitzpatrick (+4500) andDaniel Berger (+4500). Subsequently, we wouldnt be doing our due diligence if we didnt take a hard look at PGA Championship dark horse picks and sleepers that have the game to win this week. Another positive for Henley is that he ranks seventh in the field in strokes gained around the green. If you are stacking an AM/PM tee time this week, it could also be advantageous to make PM/AM stacks as well. Dont let a MC at the Byron Nelson (or the Masters) fool you. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? Just shot 64 at Southern Hills his favorite course. Aside from digging into the data at the RickRunGood.com database and a couple of other models, I try to look for guys that have had past success at the particular course, value plays, and players that are trending in the right direction coming into an event. The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island lives up to its name with, you guessed it, a lot of water. He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. Question: How did you spend that, like how did you occupy the time? Why not ride the wave early and catch Young while hes still a longshot and not offered as one of the favorites at an event like this? He has had hot putting streaks before too, so perhaps he can find his stroke at the right time in Tulsa. As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. Other than being ranked seventhin "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green," his metrics don't pop off the charts. Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. TIL Y.E. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open. This course may remind Leishman a bit of some of his favorite courses back home in Australia, as it will feature firm fairways, slopey greens, heavy winds, lots of bunkers and shaved runoffs all around the greens. MORE: How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. Davante Adams turned down a bigger deal from the Packers to force his way to Raiders, Mohammed Usman sets the record straight on Mitchell Sipe trash-talk, outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship. Over the last three months, Woodland ranks inside the top 20 of this PGA Championship field in strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained approach and strokes gained around the green. Lee is an excellent golfer, make no mistake, but he hasn't quite looked ready to win a PGA TOUR event prior to the weekend. Russel Henley($7,200) - Russel Henley is currently projected to be in the single digits ownership wise. Think like a pro, bet like a pro, win like a pro. To-win: Sam Burns, +4,000. However, his game fits Southern Hills and he seems to be enjoying the course. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. If Zalatoris remains near 10% is a great play. A feast or famine player, Champ has been flashing some strong form lately. Sleeper Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational. BMW Championship picks 2022: Top 10s Caddie: Mito Pereira (+750, Bet365) He's got the length and the iron play to contend here, so a positive putting week and you're in business at these. Hes only made the cut in three of those 10 starts. PGA: Thursday tee times | Best bets | ESPN+ streaming. Over the last 24 rounds, he ranks second in ball striking and first in strokes gained approach. Enter the Tours longest hitter (323.5 yds/drive). To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. Good iron players with good hands and (hopefully!) Lastly, the RickRunGood Tournament Predictor also loves him at these odds and has him listed as the No. I know it's going to be tough for Morikawa to win this event in back-to-back years, but I can't resist. 1 golfer in the world, will have to face off against the rest of the world's top-10 golfers, a group that is highlighted by Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. Odds, betting favorites, expert picks & more to know, Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event, Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title, Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022, How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Some of the game's biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins. The putter will need to get hot for him to walk away with the trophy, but he could end up in the top 10 even with a cold one. Most people don't realize how good Berger has beenrecently and over the past year. Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. He has struggled to seal the deal in recent memory, so he'll likely need to post a low one on Sunday, sit on the clubhouse lead and watch the leaders melt in the heat of battle. Currently projected near 10% owned, Zalatoris burned many last week. At one point last year, he gained strokes around the green in nine straight events. The SportsLine model is engineered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! Twilight 9 podcast PGA Championship preview: Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. They each have +400 odds for a top-10 finish and would be great DFS fillers in the sub-$9,000 salary range. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Four podium finishes this season, three of which were runners-up, prove his game can travel to any type of golf course. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fourth in ball striking, and second in strokes gained approach. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. If Southern Hills is going to be a tee to green fest, Henley has to be considered. He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. It will also be good to find a player that can find success out of the rough. Hottest golfer on the planet. Of course, Young's weakness is the all-important approach game, where he ranks 83rd in SG:APR. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. A player with his ability and consistency should not be priced this high. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. With an emphasis on ball-striking approach play in particular along with the ability to play well around the green, lets take a look at five sleepers who could make noise at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa this week. Either way, buckle up, because water and wind should make for plenty of drama come Sunday. No, hes not hurt. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a. The PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a reason -- but each possess considerable upside and some have even raised a major championship trophy in the past. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Over the last 24 rounds, Hatton ranks third in the field in strokes gained short-game. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Sleeper Picks: PGA Championship PGA TOUR STANDINGS FedExCup Standings 1 S. Power 749 2 K. Bradley 638 3 M. Hughes 614 4 T. Kim 601 5 B. Harman 594 SLEEPER PICKS Sleeper Picks: PGA. This will likely make scoring difficult. This week, the course will play 300 yards longer, and its fairways much wider. Jacob Camenker is a senior content producer at The Sporting News. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. Yeah, its our little oasis at home, and we love it. He has, however, found a way to grind out finishes in the majors in his career. His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. The 2022 PGA Championship will be underway this week. Furthermore, hes been a consistent gainer with his around-the-green play, even if hes not elite in that area. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +2,500: I have it on good authority that an elite ball-striker is going to win the PGA. Finding a big-hitter with a good approach game should give us a good opportunity to find a winner on this course. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-pga-championship-odds-sleeper-picks-jason-day-max-homa-southern-hills/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Best golf balls for 2023 for every budget and playing style, Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Friday at Bay Hill: Jordan Spieth's putter wakes up, Jon Rahm takes a step back among notes from Day 2 at Arnold Palmer Invitational, LIV Golf reports 3.2 million viewers for opening event in Mexico, a stark difference from early reports, Photos: PopStroke by Tiger Woods opens its first location in Arizona, Putters used by PGA Tour players ranked in the top 10 in strokes gained putting, Photos: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational merchandise tent is fit for a king, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Bradley remains the last player to win in his major championship debut as he proved victorious in a playoff at the Atlantic Athletic Club over Jason Dufner 11 years ago. That makes him an intriguing long shot. 2021 PGA Championship Overview 2. He went T-2 at the Wells Fargo and T-3 at the RBC Heritage in his last two starts. The former PGA champ is 12th on tour in SG: Tee to Green, and in the midst of an impressive T8, T4, T2 run. Days lone major came at the 2015 PGA Championship. His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. PGA Tour Rising Stars: 6 Pro Golfers to Watch in 2023. Thats enough for me! Sleeper pick: Y.E. When: March 2 to 5, 2023. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. your golf bets? He's used to these types of courses and conditions, so if the wind causes havoc this weekend, he might be able to make the leap. No golfer has won the PGA Championship more than Jack Nicklaus. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills, What is Jim Nantzs career lowlight? Let him tell you about adult film, Its f hard: Jon Rahm comes back to Earth at brutal Bay Hill. Rose finished T12 the last time the PGA Championship was contested at Southern Hills, in 2007. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. Leish has fallen off a bit since his early-season form, and hes missed the past three PGA cuts. It could play out to what the forecast expects. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 betting favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational . Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh, To-win: Daniel Berger, +5,000. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. He is in top form and his game has reached an elite level in 2022, making him the player to beat at this year's PGA Championship. Justly so, as he's playing terrific golf, finishing third in each of his past two events. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | The 2019 U.S. Open champion is finally healthy after battling injuries the last two years, and his play is indicative of such. Bezuidenhout is another player who excels in windy conditions. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fifth in strokes gained approach. Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. He has finished top 10 in each of his last PGA Championship appearances. 2nd Chance Bet up to $500. We have made one of each using odds from BetMGM to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) Some of the games biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins to their resumes over the last few months and are ready for battle. But Champ has such a high ceiling, theres big potential upside here. Which one is the best for you? It plays at 7,556 yards after its re-design in 2018and plays to a par of 70. Hovlands game declined some as it got closer to April and finished in a disappointing 27th place at The Masters. Over the last 12 months, he ranks ninth in the world in True Strokes Gained, per DataGolf. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. "They're just covering their ass and saying everything that the PGA Tour basically has trained them to say", "Playing the cutline is one of the toughest things in golf. To have a really good day, players will need to do that and sink some puts on the greens, which may play slower than those at other majors. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com. There also aren't as many trees narrowing angles to the fairway and hole. After slotting at No. Gambling problem? Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions.
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